Drop Rate Pledge of Hands?

Hi, so I've already run 50 Apex of Sacrifice runs today, but haven't gotten a single Pledge of Hands drop...is that normal? A streamer apparently got lucky after the 10th run.

What are your experiences? Is it worth doing another 50 runs, or should I just keep mapping?

Supposedly like a 1 in 40 chance but i am having similar luck. Done about 25 so far

If it is a 1/40, you could get swings much larger than that without getting one.

I did 200 without one, gg

I think that is still not that unlikely. Between .5 and 1% binomial. Pretty unlucky, but still conceivable if it is a 1/40 chance. Going to happen sometimes. As is pointed out above, some players will get it on first try, there are big swings with this kind of thing.

I've run 70 so far, no drops. I think I'll run 10 to 20 each morning; I'm on vacation right now, so that should be fine... until I know who I am and, if so, how many, I can continue with normal maps.

84 runs here.
No staff.

… sadness…

Goratha in his day one video Said « 1 on 50 »

Okay, I have one in the 80s run..... bad roll...

It seems closer to a 1% drop from the limited I've seen of people posting their 100 Atziri runs. Also I think I'm approaching 300 kills without a drop.

349 runs so far no drop.